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Red111
555735.8
83651.6
322932.0
Blue143
719747.8
448159.5
238342.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11315150100200111143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#39
51.60.0
52.352.3
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
blue by 7.9
4481
#34
59.50.4
50.651.0
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
Second
5557
#64
35.80.0
33.133.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End7.4
blue by 12.0
47.80.4
47.948.3
Auto8.9
Teleop29.1
End8.2
Third
3229
#71
32.00.0
25.825.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End5.7
blue by 10.8
2383
#54
42.80.4
42.142.5
Auto9.7
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned