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Red129
288154.5
910547.1
283039.9
Blue139
162241.9
670223.0
300575.6
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142140120130150160170180129139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#52
54.50.0
53.953.9
Auto11.5
Teleop33.9
End7.3
blue by 21.1
3005
#17
75.60.5
70.670.1
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
Second
9105
#43
47.10.0
43.943.9
Auto11.6
Teleop26.7
End8.0
red by 5.2
1622
#62
41.90.5
44.944.4
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End3.7
Third
2830
#58
39.90.0
35.535.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.7
End7.3
red by 16.9
6702
#65
23.00.6
19.318.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed