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Red107
170833.0
598759.4
912016.2
Blue167
111466.1
94850.1
59948.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10117650150200250107167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#33
59.40.2
57.357.1
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
blue by 6.7
66.10.8
61.161.9
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
Second
1708
#73
33.00.2
32.732.6
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End9.1
blue by 17.1
948
#20
50.10.8
46.347.1
Auto12.7
Teleop29.1
End8.4
Third
9120
#72
16.20.2
14.414.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3
blue by 32.3
599
#30
48.50.8
49.750.5
Auto13.2
Teleop27.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned