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Red157
238342.8
501055.3
190234.1
Blue110
277135.3
360335.4
15731.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14496050200157110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#21
55.31.8
56.158.0
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End8.7
red by 19.8
3603
#44
35.40.6
32.933.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
2383
#54
42.81.8
42.544.4
Auto9.7
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 7.5
2771
#70
35.30.6
34.535.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.8
End5.3
Third
1902
#68
34.11.8
31.132.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.9
red by 3.0
157
#74
31.10.6
29.129.7
Auto11.8
Teleop14.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned