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Red134
300575.6
399643.9
322932.0
Blue173
96838.8
519957.8
40156.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143158100200250134173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.60.2
70.170.0
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
red by 17.8
5199
#24
57.80.6
57.257.8
Auto12.9
Teleop34.9
End8.3
Second
3996
#23
43.90.2
39.339.2
Auto13.4
Teleop19.6
End10.5
blue by 12.9
401
#67
56.80.6
59.860.4
Auto13.9
Teleop37.6
End3.7
Third
3229
#71
32.00.2
27.427.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End5.7
blue by 6.8
968
#35
38.80.6
32.132.7
Auto9.6
Teleop21.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned