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Red159
111466.1
912854.9
670223.0
Blue141
745138.3
170156.7
400943.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13813980100120160180200220159141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.11.9
61.963.8
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
red by 9.4
1701
#46
56.70.7
57.358.0
Auto13.6
Teleop32.1
End9.3
Second
9128
#32
54.91.9
49.451.4
Auto12.6
Teleop36.5
End5.2
red by 11.6
4009
#37
43.30.7
41.041.7
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End6.1
Third
6702
#65
23.01.9
18.620.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.1
End4.0
blue by 15.4
7451
#69
38.30.7
34.335.0
Auto11.7
Teleop20.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned