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Red188
555735.8
169067.0
300575.6
Blue173
580147.0
803361.2
680057.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17415950100200250300188173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.61.8
70.071.8
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
red by 14.4
8033
#19
61.21.1
53.154.2
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
1690
#12
67.01.8
59.961.6
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
red by 9.3
57.71.1
55.957.0
Auto12.3
Teleop36.9
End8.4
Third
5557
#64
35.81.8
33.635.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End7.4
blue by 11.2
5801
#27
47.01.1
43.945.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned