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Red172
162241.9
448159.5
598759.4
Blue165
40156.8
746156.7
283449.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157166100120140180200220240172165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#34
59.51.6
54.456.0
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
red by 2.7
401
#67
56.80.3
60.460.7
Auto13.9
Teleop37.6
End3.7
Second
5987
#33
59.41.6
55.957.5
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
red by 2.7
7461
#22
56.70.3
53.653.9
Auto14.6
Teleop31.4
End8.5
Third
1622
#62
41.91.6
44.446.0
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End3.7
blue by 7.8
2834
#38
49.70.3
47.047.3
Auto13.5
Teleop28.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned