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Red160
516664.2
346770.0
910547.1
Blue179
672255.7
283449.7
399643.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414950100200250300160179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#10
70.00.6
70.469.8
Auto16.8
Teleop41.5
End8.5
red by 14.3
6722
#25
55.72.0
55.457.3
Auto15.3
Teleop33.1
End7.4
Second
5166
#16
64.20.6
62.662.1
Auto17.4
Teleop35.6
End7.7
red by 14.5
2834
#38
49.72.0
47.349.2
Auto13.5
Teleop28.9
End6.8
Third
9105
#43
47.10.6
45.044.4
Auto11.6
Teleop26.7
End8.0
red by 3.2
3996
#23
43.92.0
42.044.0
Auto13.4
Teleop19.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned