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Red225
116523.6
353450.3
169067.0
Blue126
94850.1
238342.8
288154.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140163100150200250225126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#12
67.00.5
62.162.6
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
red by 12.5
2881
#52
54.51.9
55.753.8
Auto11.5
Teleop33.9
End7.3
Second
3534
#36
50.30.5
48.749.2
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
red by 0.2
948
#20
50.11.9
51.649.7
Auto12.7
Teleop29.1
End8.4
Third
1165
#50
23.60.5
23.724.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.5
End4.6
blue by 19.2
2383
#54
42.81.9
46.644.6
Auto9.7
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed