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Red209
111466.1
83651.6
300575.6
Blue196
291074.5
10362.2
746156.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18719350100150250300350209196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.60.7
74.475.1
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
red by 1.1
2910
#51
74.50.2
74.174.3
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End8.7
Second
66.10.7
64.965.6
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
red by 3.9
103
#3
62.20.2
62.062.2
Auto12.6
Teleop40.4
End8.5
Third
836
#39
51.60.7
50.451.1
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
blue by 5.1
7461
#22
56.70.2
56.356.6
Auto14.6
Teleop31.4
End8.5