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Red60
692525.4
582815.7
694419.7
Blue21
884911.6
747018.7
905714.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5635020801006021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.7
19.019.7
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.5
red by 6.6
7470
#13
18.71.0
14.513.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Second
6944
#19
19.70.7
16.717.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.4
red by 5.3
9057
#16
14.41.0
9.68.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
5828
#24
15.70.7
14.214.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End5.1
red by 4.1
8849
#25
11.61.0
11.410.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed