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Red46
100219.8
521910.0
584815.0
Blue68
747018.7
565113.6
582815.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45452030405060704668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#28
19.80.9
16.315.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End6.7
red by 1.1
7470
#13
18.71.6
13.515.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Second
5848
#29
15.00.9
11.610.7
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End8.8
blue by 0.7
5828
#24
15.71.6
14.816.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End5.1
Third
5219
#23
10.00.9
12.011.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End7.1
blue by 3.6
5651
#17
13.61.6
15.617.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
9%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed