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Red149
873636.5
513024.8
682947.5
Blue100
241521.4
141437.4
411221.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91764060100120140149100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.53.4
37.640.9
Auto14.0
Teleop27.2
End6.2
red by 10.1
37.41.1
33.134.3
Auto9.5
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
36.53.4
25.028.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.5
End7.0
red by 15.1
2415
#18
21.41.1
18.019.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Third
5130
#12
24.83.4
21.024.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End7.4
red by 3.8
4112
#21
21.01.1
21.722.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned