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Red84
174636.2
582815.7
710411.9
Blue98
126147.6
565113.6
692525.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608520401001201401608498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.3
27.929.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End9.4
blue by 11.4
47.60.8
38.939.7
Auto13.8
Teleop25.8
End7.9
Second
5828
#24
15.71.3
16.417.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End5.1
blue by 9.7
25.40.8
20.421.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Third
7104
#27
11.91.3
14.716.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.0
blue by 1.7
5651
#17
13.60.8
17.218.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned