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Red112
905714.4
174636.2
126147.6
Blue101
513024.8
884911.6
691948.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85855060708090100110120130112101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.62.2
39.741.8
Auto13.8
Teleop25.8
End7.9
blue by 1.1
48.71.4
44.345.7
Auto15.1
Teleop24.3
End9.2
Second
36.22.2
29.231.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End9.4
red by 11.4
5130
#12
24.81.4
24.325.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End7.4
Third
9057
#16
14.42.2
10.612.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.7
red by 2.8
8849
#25
11.61.4
11.412.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned