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Red57
424019.6
926032.1
565113.6
Blue115
747018.7
692525.4
682947.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6687204010012014016057115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#14
32.10.5
29.629.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End5.7
blue by 15.3
47.52.4
41.944.4
Auto14.0
Teleop27.2
End6.2
Second
4240
#15
19.60.5
17.016.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
blue by 5.8
25.42.4
21.223.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Third
5651
#17
13.60.5
18.017.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.2
blue by 5.2
7470
#13
18.72.4
15.618.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsEarned