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Red111
332919.0
682947.5
363524.3
Blue38
76768.6
884911.6
174636.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9658015011138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.4
46.347.7
Auto14.0
Teleop27.2
End6.2
red by 11.2
36.21.4
32.531.1
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End9.4
Second
24.31.4
22.724.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End8.0
red by 12.7
8849
#25
11.61.4
14.513.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Third
3329
#26
19.01.4
16.117.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End6.1
red by 10.5
7676
#22
8.61.4
11.910.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned