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Red111
470123.3
884911.6
177150.4
Blue47
565113.6
710411.9
141437.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916520408010012014016011147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.9
46.046.9
Auto15.9
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 13.0
37.41.5
33.131.6
Auto9.5
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
4701
#11
23.30.9
23.124.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End7.9
red by 9.7
5651
#17
13.61.5
18.016.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.2
Third
8849
#25
11.60.9
13.114.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 0.3
7104
#27
11.91.5
13.411.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed