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Red50
926032.1
710411.9
747018.7
Blue45
411221.0
363524.3
174636.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507701001502005045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#14
32.10.0
22.622.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End5.7
blue by 4.1
36.21.6
26.725.1
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End9.4
Second
7470
#13
18.70.0
15.615.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
blue by 5.6
24.31.6
17.716.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
7104
#27
11.90.0
12.412.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.0
blue by 9.2
4112
#21
21.01.6
24.222.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed