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Red141
177150.4
174636.2
241521.4
Blue19
76768.6
905714.4
694419.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11640020608010014016014119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.42.5
46.448.9
Auto15.9
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 30.7
6944
#19
19.71.9
20.919.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.4
Second
36.22.5
32.935.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End9.4
red by 21.8
9057
#16
14.41.9
16.814.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
2415
#18
21.42.5
19.622.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End4.1
red by 12.9
7676
#22
8.61.9
9.47.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed