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Red70
470123.3
747018.7
334427.8
Blue132
692525.4
141437.4
873636.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739440608010012014016070132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3344
#10
27.80.1
28.828.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End7.7
blue by 9.5
37.43.1
32.635.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
4701
#11
23.30.1
23.323.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End7.9
blue by 13.3
36.53.1
31.834.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Third
7470
#13
18.70.1
18.918.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
blue by 6.6
25.43.1
21.024.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned