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Red83
682947.5
905714.4
424019.6
Blue33
884911.6
411221.0
100219.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575430405070808333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.0
32.834.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.2
End6.2
red by 26.4
4112
#21
21.01.6
22.621.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End7.4
Second
4240
#15
19.62.0
11.914.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
blue by 0.3
1002
#28
19.81.6
16.615.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End6.7
Third
9057
#16
14.42.0
7.69.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.7
red by 2.8
8849
#25
11.61.6
13.111.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed