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Red98
100219.8
174636.2
692525.4
Blue75
470123.3
363524.3
884911.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86590501001509875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.3
34.935.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End9.4
red by 11.9
24.30.4
24.324.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Second
25.40.3
24.124.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.5
red by 2.1
4701
#11
23.30.4
23.223.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End7.9
Third
1002
#28
19.80.3
18.518.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End6.7
red by 8.2
8849
#25
11.60.4
11.511.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8