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Red54
424019.6
747018.7
241521.4
Blue83
470123.3
363524.3
884911.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646455607075805483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
21.40.1
21.621.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 2.9
24.30.1
24.624.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Second
4240
#15
19.60.1
19.719.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
blue by 3.7
4701
#11
23.30.1
23.523.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End7.9
Third
7470
#13
18.70.1
18.918.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
red by 7.1
8849
#25
11.60.1
11.912.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8