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Red68
523112.7
516657.3
663113.5
Blue89
150423.9
675335.6
998424.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968902004006008001,0001,2001,4001,6006889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#15
57.31.5
54.452.9
Auto14.8
Teleop30.8
End9.1
red by 21.6
35.60.7
36.936.2
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End8.7
Second
6631
#32
13.51.5
19.618.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 10.7
24.21.1
19.518.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End6.6
Third
5231
#25
12.71.5
16.014.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End6.5
blue by 11.2
1504
#20
23.90.7
25.825.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned