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Red112
168451.9
607123.9
606724.0
Blue82
675335.6
721142.0
522921.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951095015011282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.91.3
47.548.8
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End11.0
red by 9.9
7211
#21
42.01.2
40.239.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.2
End7.0
Second
6067
#27
24.01.3
22.724.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.6
End6.4
blue by 11.7
35.61.2
36.935.7
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End8.7
Third
23.91.3
22.423.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End6.9
red by 2.4
5229
#29
21.51.2
22.921.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed