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Red116
521653.1
89428.2
664216.2
Blue126
560329.0
675335.6
516657.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97146050200250116126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.9
54.255.1
Auto12.4
Teleop27.8
End11.7
blue by 4.1
5166
#15
57.31.4
58.056.5
Auto14.8
Teleop30.8
End9.1
Second
894
#22
28.20.9
26.227.1
Auto6.8
Teleop18.9
End2.8
blue by 7.4
35.61.4
38.336.8
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End8.7
Third
6642
#16
16.20.9
16.817.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End7.7
blue by 12.8
5603
#23
29.01.4
34.332.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned