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Red68
522921.5
999522.2
663113.5
Blue110
553433.8
283248.9
353724.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112205010015020068110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#17
22.20.9
15.316.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End3.2
blue by 26.7
48.90.2
42.642.8
Auto12.5
Teleop28.1
End8.5
Second
5229
#29
21.50.6
25.325.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.1
End5.3
blue by 12.3
5534
#11
33.80.2
35.335.5
Auto10.4
Teleop16.5
End7.0
Third
6631
#32
13.50.6
19.019.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 11.0
3537
#26
24.50.2
28.728.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned