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Red145
924539.4
721142.0
168451.9
Blue128
353850.0
521653.1
999522.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138129050100200250300145128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.1
50.450.5
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End11.0
blue by 1.3
53.10.1
53.153.1
Auto12.4
Teleop27.8
End11.7
Second
7211
#21
42.00.1
40.540.6
Auto13.8
Teleop21.2
End7.0
blue by 7.9
3538
#12
50.00.1
49.950.0
Auto13.9
Teleop32.7
End3.9
Third
9245
#19
39.40.1
37.938.0
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End7.7
red by 17.2
9995
#17
22.20.1
22.122.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End3.2