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Red111
522921.5
516657.3
542441.5
Blue93
828628.1
504620.4
999827.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1396605010015020011193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#15
57.30.3
58.257.9
Auto14.8
Teleop30.8
End9.1
red by 29.2
28.10.4
26.026.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End7.2
Second
41.50.3
42.442.1
Auto12.6
Teleop20.9
End7.9
red by 14.0
9998
#10
27.50.7
24.124.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.9
End7.1
Third
5229
#29
21.50.3
21.721.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.1
End5.3
red by 1.1
5046
#18
20.40.4
18.418.8
Auto11.4
Teleop4.6
End4.4