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Red94
664216.2
516657.3
542441.5
Blue109
261931.3
998424.2
560329.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1298005010015020094109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#15
57.30.5
57.957.4
Auto14.8
Teleop30.8
End9.1
red by 26.0
2619
#14
31.30.5
30.931.3
Auto12.2
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Second
41.50.5
42.141.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.9
End7.9
red by 12.4
5603
#23
29.00.5
28.528.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End6.5
Third
6642
#16
16.20.5
16.916.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End7.7
blue by 8.0
24.20.8
23.524.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End6.6