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Red159
244520.7
35951.9
425356.0
Blue128
427047.2
887123.7
461362.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314480100120160180200159128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.4
55.055.5
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
blue by 6.2
62.20.1
62.262.1
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
Second
359
#7
51.90.4
51.051.4
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
red by 4.7
47.20.1
47.247.1
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
Third
2445
#32
20.70.4
19.820.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
blue by 3.1
8871
#16
23.70.1
23.823.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.8