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Qual 122023 Hawaii Regional
Red83
915817.3
901223.6
763237.2
Blue40
755126.6
244520.7
690920.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65603040507080901008340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7632
#13
37.21.9
26.5→28.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
red by 10.5
7551
#23
26.61.9
15.6→13.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.7
Second
9012
#15
23.61.9
17.2→19.2
Auto8.5
Teleop6.6
End8.4
red by 2.9
2445
#32
20.71.9
17.8→15.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Third
9158
#33
17.31.9
16.9→18.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
blue by 3.2
6909
#21
20.51.9
23.7→21.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed