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Red173
427047.2
763237.2
461362.2
Blue49
885318.1
209010.6
901223.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13645010015020017349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.23.8
56.159.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
red by 38.6
9012
#15
23.60.6
19.218.6
Auto8.5
Teleop6.6
End8.4
Second
47.24.2
31.635.8
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
red by 29.1
8853
#35
18.10.6
20.319.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
7632
#13
37.26.3
28.434.8
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
red by 26.5
2090
#30
10.60.6
14.513.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed