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Red56
880629.5
585142.5
209010.6
Blue107
35951.9
244520.7
388237.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64110020408010012014016056107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.7
33.032.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
blue by 9.4
359
#7
51.90.6
54.054.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
Second
8806
#26
29.51.1
16.115.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
blue by 8.3
37.80.8
26.927.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
Third
2090
#30
10.61.1
17.015.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 10.1
2445
#32
20.71.0
16.717.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned