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Qual 302023 Hawaii Regional
Red105
861512.9
36846.7
244117.1
Blue129
461362.2
772422.0
901223.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581110100150105129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
46.74.3
30.6→34.9
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
blue by 15.5
4613
#2
62.21.5
58.4→59.8
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
Second
2441
#31
17.14.3
14.5→18.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.5
blue by 6.4
9012
#15
23.62.4
18.4→20.8
Auto8.5
Teleop6.6
End8.4
Third
8615
#36
12.94.3
16.1→20.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
blue by 9.2
7724
#24
22.02.4
20.3→22.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned