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Qual 322023 Hawaii Regional
Red118
388237.8
690920.5
372133.2
Blue64
481727.4
901912.9
872532.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706605010015020025011864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#6
37.83.2
27.1→30.3
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
red by 4.9
8725
#17
32.90.3
22.9→22.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6
Second
3721
#18
33.25.3
22.2→27.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.7
End7.1
red by 5.8
4817
#27
27.40.2
26.6→26.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Third
6909
#21
20.55.3
16.2→21.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.4
red by 7.6
9019
#34
12.90.3
12.6→12.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed