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Qual 342023 Hawaii Regional
Red127
763237.2
243839.4
880629.5
Blue83
209010.6
244117.1
461362.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9398020030040050012783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#11
39.44.3
34.4→38.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
blue by 22.7
4613
#2
62.20.9
59.8→58.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
Second
7632
#13
37.24.3
32.3→36.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
red by 20.0
2441
#31
17.11.5
18.8→17.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.5
Third
8806
#26
29.54.3
21.5→25.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
red by 18.9
2090
#30
10.61.5
13.0→11.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed