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Qual 602023 Hawaii Regional
Red115
244345.3
243839.4
901912.9
Blue120
285327.0
252241.0
585142.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041166080140160115120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#8
45.31.1
44.3→45.4
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
red by 2.8
5851
#4
42.50.9
39.2→40.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
Second
2438
#11
39.41.4
38.3→39.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
blue by 1.5
2522
#12
41.00.9
41.4→42.3
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Third
9019
#34
12.91.4
16.1→17.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 14.1
2853
#10
27.01.2
26.5→27.8
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned