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Qual 632023 Hawaii Regional
Red113
388237.8
427047.2
901223.6
Blue34
481727.4
234815.9
247719.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116675010015020011334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#1
47.20.7
44.2→44.9
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
red by 19.7
4817
#27
27.42.4
27.8→25.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Second
3882
#6
37.80.7
36.8→37.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
red by 18.7
2477
#20
19.12.9
22.5→19.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Third
9012
#15
23.60.8
22.0→22.8
Auto8.5
Teleop6.6
End8.4
red by 7.7
2348
#28
15.92.9
19.2→16.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed