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Qual 72023 Hawaii Regional
Red24
670415.8
247719.1
901912.9
Blue128
872532.9
243839.4
427047.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5673010015024128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2477
#20
19.14.0
19.5→15.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
blue by 28.1
4270
#1
47.24.6
27.0→31.6
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
Second
6704
#29
15.84.0
15.9→11.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 23.7
2438
#11
39.46.3
23.5→29.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
Third
9019
#34
12.94.0
19.6→15.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 20.0
8725
#17
32.96.3
16.0→22.2
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned