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Red116
289619.3
35951.9
481727.4
Blue128
247719.1
425356.0
461362.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8815350100200116128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#7
51.91.7
47.649.3
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
blue by 10.3
62.20.5
61.461.0
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
Second
4817
#27
27.41.7
25.427.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End6.3
blue by 28.5
56.00.5
53.853.4
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
Third
2896
#37
19.31.9
17.419.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
red by 0.2
2477
#20
19.10.5
19.619.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned