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Qual 92023 Hawaii Regional
Red96
850323.4
880629.5
289619.3
Blue120
887123.7
36846.7
300828.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607020408010012096120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8806
#26
29.53.2
19.2→22.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
blue by 17.2
368
#5
46.71.1
23.8→24.9
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Second
8503
#19
23.43.2
20.7→23.9
Auto10.9
Teleop4.1
End8.4
blue by 5.1
3008
#14
28.50.7
19.1→19.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
2896
#37
19.33.2
17.5→20.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 4.4
8871
#16
23.70.7
21.3→21.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned