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Red131
388237.8
36846.7
872532.9
Blue121
772422.0
244345.3
243839.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291106080100120140160180200131121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
46.70.3
47.047.3
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
red by 1.4
45.30.3
44.945.2
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
Second
37.80.3
38.138.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
blue by 1.6
2438
#11
39.40.3
39.039.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
Third
8725
#17
32.90.3
33.233.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6
red by 10.9
7724
#24
22.00.4
21.622.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7