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Red105
372133.2
300828.5
880629.5
Blue117
772422.0
244345.3
243839.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311720406080140160105117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#18
33.20.2
33.033.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.7
End7.1
blue by 12.1
45.30.2
45.245.5
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
Second
8806
#26
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
blue by 9.9
2438
#11
39.40.2
39.439.6
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
Third
3008
#14
28.50.2
28.328.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 6.5
7724
#24
22.00.3
22.022.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7