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Red192
132382.8
409647.2
441468.5
Blue162
172768.5
49847.3
233866.3
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201188120140160180220240260192162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.80.0
82.682.6
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 14.3
1727
#18
68.50.5
69.969.4
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
Second
4414
#17
68.50.0
68.368.3
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 2.2
66.30.5
67.767.1
Auto14.3
Teleop41.4
End8.8
Third
4096
#23
47.20.0
47.047.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
blue by 0.1
498
#40
47.30.5
48.748.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1