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Red40
564813.2
512316.2
20135.4
Blue115
908226.7
170657.4
683220.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7411005015020040115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#62
35.42.6
38.335.7
Auto10.1
Teleop19.7
End6.1
blue by 22.0
1706
#21
57.40.4
54.755.2
Auto15.6
Teleop34.4
End7.1
Second
5123
#76
16.22.6
18.115.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 10.5
9082
#61
26.70.4
23.023.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Third
5648
#70
13.22.6
17.114.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.8
blue by 7.3
6832
#69
20.50.4
20.521.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed