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Red172
233866.3
801943.9
22647.8
Blue140
421339.2
48858.2
918233.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713150100150200250172140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.5
62.963.5
Auto14.3
Teleop41.4
End8.8
red by 8.1
488
#15
58.20.9
57.858.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End10.4
Second
226
#25
47.80.5
47.548.1
Auto11.3
Teleop26.8
End9.5
red by 8.6
4213
#65
39.20.9
36.937.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End8.7
Third
8019
#41
43.90.5
42.042.5
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End8.3
red by 10.5
9182
#50
33.50.9
32.433.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned