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Red156
581611.5
335763.7
409647.2
Blue145
22647.8
365428.4
172768.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11715950100200156145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.71.9
62.464.3
Auto17.1
Teleop34.6
End10.0
blue by 4.8
1727
#18
68.50.3
67.667.4
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
Second
4096
#23
47.21.9
43.345.2
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
blue by 0.6
226
#25
47.80.3
48.147.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.8
End9.5
Third
5816
#75
11.51.9
9.611.5
Auto7.0
Teleop0.9
End4.1
blue by 16.8
3654
#63
28.40.3
28.628.4
Auto9.8
Teleop11.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned